由Ernesto Becerra于2023年12月6日出版
休斯顿(12月. 7, 2023) — The Greater Houston Partnership forecasts the Houston region will see job growth in 2024, 虽然速度较慢, 比如利率, a tight labor market and turmoil in commercial real estate weigh on the economy.
在合伙人的预测中, 该地区预计将增加57个,600个工作岗位, returning to a more sustainable pace after record job growth post-pandemic. Houston added nearly 200,000 more jobs than it did before the pandemic as of October 2023.
“The Houston region has been running at a sprint ever since emerging from the pandemic. So, 而明年的增长将会放缓, 休斯顿的经济依然富有弹性,伙伴关系首席经济学家帕特里克·扬科夫斯基说.
根据预报, 2024年的失业将发生在建筑行业, 金融保险, 信息, and real estate – industries impacted by higher interest rates, 更严格的贷款标准和持续的劳动力短缺.
越来越多的经济学家一致认为,美国经济正在复苏.S. will skirt a recession next year after the long-awaited recession never materialized this year. According to the Wall Street Journal’s latest quarterly survey of business and academic economists, they placed the probability of a recession within the next year at 48 percent, 这是自2022年以来首次低于50%.
但也有人担心,美国以外的地区可能会发生一些事件.S. Federal Reserve’s control, such us geopolitics, could still trigger a recession. Houston’s economy is directly tied to the national economy and will almost certainly follow the U.S. 陷入衰退.
A sector-by-sector breakdown of the jobs forecast and the factors impacting each industry can be found in the 完整的报告.